N***@gmail.com
2005-10-16 21:01:39 UTC
KoD Spoilers Below
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Spoiler space ends
This post is in regard to the probable Seanchan attack on the White
Tower. In fact so many peices of information are in place, I beleive it
is possible deduce their entire plan of attack.
First also there is the prophecy: "A small white plinth stood centered
in that circle, supporting an oil-lamp made of clear glass. The flame
on that lamp burned bright and steady, without flickering. It was white
too. Suddenly a pair of birds flashed out of the mist, two ravens black
as night. Streaking across the spire-top, they struck the lamp and flew
on without so much as a pause. The lamp spun and wobbled, dancing
around atop the plinth, flinging off droplets of oil. Some of those
drops caught fire in midair and vanished. Others fell around the short
column, each supporting a tiny, flickering white flame. And the lamp
continued to wobble on the edge of falling." - CoT Egwenes Dream
The first we hear of Seanchan plans to attack the White Tower are in
Ch4 CoT: "A Tale of a Doll" In this chapter Furyk Karede is studying a
map of Tar Valon. There are two maps on the table only the Tar Valon
one had been unrolled. They are part of Lord Yulans plans (ch4 CoT).
That is Captain of the Air Lord Abaldar Yulan. In KoD: Prologue the
High Lady Suroth orders him to send 9 out of 10 Raken to Tarabon. In
the same section, Generel Galgan does not object to her movement of the
Raken so long as no To'Raken are moved. From the Guide we know that a
To'Raken is larger than a Raken and can carry around 10 men.
for an attack or raid on Tar Valon. The attack will be directed by a
Captain of the Air, therefore we know it will involve To'Roken moving
troops up to 200 km per day(Guide) until they reach Tar Valon.
The Seanchan therefore have it within their capability to send anywhere
from 100 to 500 Suldam/Damane combos to Tar Valon along with some Fists
of Heaven air soldiers by hop scotching through non-settled areas.
There could be significantly more troops if they make several trips to
a secret base camp up to 100 km away from Tar Valon.
a spire for a roof. It is similar to a modern day roof garden on an
apartment building. In other words it is somehwere that To'Raken could
land.
In KoD Ch12: "A Manufactory" Perrin meets a Seanchan civil servant. She
has just been given a promotion for a great success in manufacturing
Forkroot.
In KoD During an Elaida or Tarna PoV we learn about the Tar Valon water
system. Specifically that water for the White Tower is drawn from a
central source.
When the Seanchan take Amador, some hours after the battle is finished
Morgase visits the High Lady Suroth. The High Lady had brought all her
furniture and Seanchan screens etc. with her by To'Raken. To'Raken not
only carry passengers but cargo as well.
In KoD Seanchan spies and agents are discovered by Rand in Tear.
Plainly for an attack on the White Tower scounts and agents could have
been inserted into the vacinity of Tar Valon well before the seige
started.
Finally, Jordan does little by accident and Elaida moving her rooms to
near the roof will probably become a plot point when the Seanchan
attack.
Therefore, while the scale of the attack or raid can vary significantly
the outlines are plain:
1. Seanchan agents will attempt to pour forkroot in the White Tower
water supply.
2. Seanchan To'Raken will carry Suldam and Damane as well as limited
numbers of soldiers to the roof of the White Tower. (And perhaps also
the city and even rebel Aes Sedai camp - all depends of scale of the
attack, and quality of intelligence)
3. Therefore they will catch a White Tower with only 200 Aes Sedai
present in the first place, with an unknown percentage asleep from
forkroot in their tea.
4. From prophecy we know the Seanchan will acheive limited success. We
know some Aes Sedai will die and others be collared but that the
Seanchan will not retain control of the White Tower.
5. As things stand, there is no reason for the Seanchan not to acheive
success except: The Asha'man bonded by Rebels, and Tower Reds,
especially if they form large circles will come as quite a surprise.
Speculations:
1. I keep returning to the prophecies associated with the Tower attack.
What possible reason could a Seanchan have for aiding Egwene? And how
could she be in more trouble than she is now for Gawyn to save her?
Even if the Seanchan capture her, they will make her Damane again, and
they never execute damane.
2. The Forsaken MUST know about the impending Seanchan attack on the
Tower through Semirhage and countless DarkFriends. At the Forsaken
Social Messana claimed everything going on surrounding the White Tower
as her plan as she came up with it. From Moridin's response the plan
has been adopted as Nae'blis policy to be run by him.
3. Unless Egeanin ends up at the White Tower, which seems exceedingly
unlikely with so little book time left, the Seanchan in Egwenes dream
must be one that comes with the attack.
4. The only thing I can think of to put Egwene in true danger, and
change a Seanchan's world view enough to team up with a marath'damane
is if the Forsaken /Black Ajah/Dark Asha'man take a hand in things.
5. If the Forsaken know the Seanchan attack is coming, the Black Ajah
will be warned in time to avoid being collared.
6. The Forsaken plan: The Seanchan attack takes out all the non-black
Aes Sedai, and the Black Ajah is left running the White Tower.
7. Egwene's 3rd time through the Accepted raising Ter'angreal has
elements of prophecy in it. Read the WoT FAQ Section 4.3
The circle of 13 Myrdraal 13 Black Ajah would certainly be a threat big
enough to force a Seanchan to start working with an marath'Damane as a
person and something the Seanchan and Gawyn may be needed to save her
and the White Tower from. The White Tower turned into a Black Ajah
producing factory for Aes Sedai and maybe even Damane. It would be a
worthy Forsaken plan for controlling the world unveiled in the last
book as part of the master plan for the dark side winning.
Thoughts?
JRS
.
..
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
..
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
Spoiler space ends
This post is in regard to the probable Seanchan attack on the White
Tower. In fact so many peices of information are in place, I beleive it
is possible deduce their entire plan of attack.
First also there is the prophecy: "A small white plinth stood centered
in that circle, supporting an oil-lamp made of clear glass. The flame
on that lamp burned bright and steady, without flickering. It was white
too. Suddenly a pair of birds flashed out of the mist, two ravens black
as night. Streaking across the spire-top, they struck the lamp and flew
on without so much as a pause. The lamp spun and wobbled, dancing
around atop the plinth, flinging off droplets of oil. Some of those
drops caught fire in midair and vanished. Others fell around the short
column, each supporting a tiny, flickering white flame. And the lamp
continued to wobble on the edge of falling." - CoT Egwenes Dream
The first we hear of Seanchan plans to attack the White Tower are in
Ch4 CoT: "A Tale of a Doll" In this chapter Furyk Karede is studying a
map of Tar Valon. There are two maps on the table only the Tar Valon
one had been unrolled. They are part of Lord Yulans plans (ch4 CoT).
That is Captain of the Air Lord Abaldar Yulan. In KoD: Prologue the
High Lady Suroth orders him to send 9 out of 10 Raken to Tarabon. In
the same section, Generel Galgan does not object to her movement of the
Raken so long as no To'Raken are moved. From the Guide we know that a
To'Raken is larger than a Raken and can carry around 10 men.
From this, we know that at the time of the start of CoT, the Seanchan
already had detailed plans circulating amoung their highest generalsfor an attack or raid on Tar Valon. The attack will be directed by a
Captain of the Air, therefore we know it will involve To'Roken moving
troops up to 200 km per day(Guide) until they reach Tar Valon.
The Seanchan therefore have it within their capability to send anywhere
from 100 to 500 Suldam/Damane combos to Tar Valon along with some Fists
of Heaven air soldiers by hop scotching through non-settled areas.
There could be significantly more troops if they make several trips to
a secret base camp up to 100 km away from Tar Valon.
From the Guide we have a very detailed physical description of the
White Tower. Specifically that the White Tower has a flat top, and nota spire for a roof. It is similar to a modern day roof garden on an
apartment building. In other words it is somehwere that To'Raken could
land.
In KoD Ch12: "A Manufactory" Perrin meets a Seanchan civil servant. She
has just been given a promotion for a great success in manufacturing
Forkroot.
In KoD During an Elaida or Tarna PoV we learn about the Tar Valon water
system. Specifically that water for the White Tower is drawn from a
central source.
When the Seanchan take Amador, some hours after the battle is finished
Morgase visits the High Lady Suroth. The High Lady had brought all her
furniture and Seanchan screens etc. with her by To'Raken. To'Raken not
only carry passengers but cargo as well.
In KoD Seanchan spies and agents are discovered by Rand in Tear.
Plainly for an attack on the White Tower scounts and agents could have
been inserted into the vacinity of Tar Valon well before the seige
started.
Finally, Jordan does little by accident and Elaida moving her rooms to
near the roof will probably become a plot point when the Seanchan
attack.
Therefore, while the scale of the attack or raid can vary significantly
the outlines are plain:
1. Seanchan agents will attempt to pour forkroot in the White Tower
water supply.
2. Seanchan To'Raken will carry Suldam and Damane as well as limited
numbers of soldiers to the roof of the White Tower. (And perhaps also
the city and even rebel Aes Sedai camp - all depends of scale of the
attack, and quality of intelligence)
3. Therefore they will catch a White Tower with only 200 Aes Sedai
present in the first place, with an unknown percentage asleep from
forkroot in their tea.
4. From prophecy we know the Seanchan will acheive limited success. We
know some Aes Sedai will die and others be collared but that the
Seanchan will not retain control of the White Tower.
5. As things stand, there is no reason for the Seanchan not to acheive
success except: The Asha'man bonded by Rebels, and Tower Reds,
especially if they form large circles will come as quite a surprise.
Speculations:
1. I keep returning to the prophecies associated with the Tower attack.
What possible reason could a Seanchan have for aiding Egwene? And how
could she be in more trouble than she is now for Gawyn to save her?
Even if the Seanchan capture her, they will make her Damane again, and
they never execute damane.
2. The Forsaken MUST know about the impending Seanchan attack on the
Tower through Semirhage and countless DarkFriends. At the Forsaken
Social Messana claimed everything going on surrounding the White Tower
as her plan as she came up with it. From Moridin's response the plan
has been adopted as Nae'blis policy to be run by him.
3. Unless Egeanin ends up at the White Tower, which seems exceedingly
unlikely with so little book time left, the Seanchan in Egwenes dream
must be one that comes with the attack.
4. The only thing I can think of to put Egwene in true danger, and
change a Seanchan's world view enough to team up with a marath'damane
is if the Forsaken /Black Ajah/Dark Asha'man take a hand in things.
5. If the Forsaken know the Seanchan attack is coming, the Black Ajah
will be warned in time to avoid being collared.
6. The Forsaken plan: The Seanchan attack takes out all the non-black
Aes Sedai, and the Black Ajah is left running the White Tower.
7. Egwene's 3rd time through the Accepted raising Ter'angreal has
elements of prophecy in it. Read the WoT FAQ Section 4.3
The circle of 13 Myrdraal 13 Black Ajah would certainly be a threat big
enough to force a Seanchan to start working with an marath'Damane as a
person and something the Seanchan and Gawyn may be needed to save her
and the White Tower from. The White Tower turned into a Black Ajah
producing factory for Aes Sedai and maybe even Damane. It would be a
worthy Forsaken plan for controlling the world unveiled in the last
book as part of the master plan for the dark side winning.
Thoughts?
JRS